Michael Pittman Jr. has emerged as a popular fantasy football draft pick in recent years, captivating fantasy owners with his impressive size, athleticism, and potential to be a true WR1 in the NFL. But when it comes down to game day, the question always remains: should you start Michael Pittman Jr. this week?
This article dives deep into the factors you need to consider before making that crucial decision. We’ll analyze Pittman Jr.’s recent performances, upcoming matchups, and other variables that could impact his fantasy output, providing you with the insights you need to make the best choice for your fantasy team.
Understanding Pittman Jr.’s Fantasy Value
Michael Pittman Jr. possesses the physical tools and talent to be a consistent fantasy producer. At 6’4″ and over 220 pounds, he’s a matchup nightmare for opposing cornerbacks, using his size and strength to win contested catches and dominate in the red zone. His route-running ability and reliable hands make him a quarterback’s dream target, capable of moving the chains and racking up yards after the catch.
However, there are some factors that can influence his fantasy output on a weekly basis:
- Quarterback Play: The Colts have undergone significant changes at the quarterback position, which can affect Pittman Jr.’s consistency. A stable and accurate quarterback is crucial for maximizing his potential.
- Offensive Line Play: The Colts offensive line has been a strength in recent years, providing time for their quarterback and creating running lanes for Jonathan Taylor. A strong running game helps open up the passing game, creating more opportunities for Pittman Jr.
- Matchups: Like any wide receiver, Pittman Jr.’s performance can be influenced by the opposing team’s defensive scheme and the cornerback he’s facing.
Evaluating Pittman Jr.’s Upcoming Matchup
Before deciding to start Pittman Jr., you need to carefully analyze his upcoming opponent:
- Defensive Rankings: Look at the opponent’s defensive rankings against wide receivers. Are they giving up a lot of fantasy points to opposing wideouts?
- Cornerback Matchup: Research the specific cornerback who will likely be covering Pittman Jr. Is this a shutdown corner known for limiting top receivers? Or is it a favorable matchup against a weaker defender?
- Game Script: Consider the projected game script. Will the Colts be playing from behind, forcing them to throw the ball more often? Or will they have a comfortable lead, leading to a more balanced offensive attack?
Factors Beyond the Matchup
- Injury Status: Always check Pittman Jr.’s injury status leading up to game day. Even a minor injury can significantly impact a player’s performance.
- Weather Conditions: Extreme weather conditions, such as heavy rain, strong winds, or snow, can affect passing games and make it more difficult for receivers to create separation and make catches.
- Recent Performance Trends: While past performance is not always an indicator of future results, it’s helpful to consider Pittman Jr.’s recent form. Is he coming off a strong game with a high target share? Or has he been relatively quiet in recent weeks?
Making the Final Call: Trust Your Gut and Your Research
Ultimately, the decision of whether or not to start Michael Pittman Jr. is yours. There’s no guaranteed formula for fantasy football success, but by carefully considering the factors outlined above, you can make a more informed and confident decision. Trust your gut instinct, but back it up with thorough research and analysis.
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